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Institutional intelligence and market commentary across emerging and frontier markets, commodities and digital assets.
US Crop Intelligence — Conditions Deteriorate as Harvest Approaches
Corn's goodtoexcellent rating fell 3 points to 57% as USDA's latest Crop Progress report shows broad deterioration just as fund positioning turned bullish.
US Crop Intelligence — Conditions Deteriorate as Harvest Approaches US crop conditions weakened across most major commodities in the latest USDA Crop Progress report, with corn recording the sharpest deterioration as its goodtoexcellent rating fell three percentage points to 57%. Soybeans, spring wh…
Agricultural Positioning Intelligence — Funds Make Their Move
Managed money's net long in sugar jumped ~95,000 contracts in a week — the CFTC's latest COT data reveal where agricultu
Coffee (Arabica) analysis — 2026-08-24
Brazil's record coffee harvest hasn't reached the warehouse — ICE Arabica stocks sit near multiyear lows as Colombia's o
Live Cattle analysis — 2026-08-24
July cattle placements hit a record low as Trump opens a 90day tariff window for beef imports — can imports fix a supply
Copper analysis — 2026-08-20
Copper hit a record $14,912 in an LME squeeze even as ICSG forecasts a 2026 surplus — proof that global balance and deli
Commodities briefing — 2026-08-20
Copper retreats from a record LME squeeze while platinum surges 5% on a fourth annual deficit — availability now matters
Daily Briefing — 2026-08-20
Falling US yields and a weaker dollar lift EM assets as Vietnam's confirmed FTSE upgrade, Korea's equity surge, and Nige
Digital assets briefing — 2026-08-20
Bitcoin surged past $68,000 as a Treasury buyback expansion cut yields and up to $2bn in short liquidations amplified th
Aluminum analysis — 2026-08-19
LME stocks sit at a 36year low, 95% Russianorigin — but China's export surge means global supply may recover before exch
Wheat analysis — 2026-08-19
Global wheat stocks look ample at 273 MMT, but Black Sea disruption is squeezing exportable supply — deliverability, not
Silver analysis — 2026-08-13
Silver at $66.04 faces a sixth consecutive annual deficit of 46.3 Moz as London vault stocks hit historic lows and the g
South Korea Intelligence Summary — 13 August 2026
The BOK hiked to 2.75% on July 16 as the won rallied from a 17year low, with KOSPI at 6,813 and a further August 27 hike
Asia briefing — 2026-08-13
Samsung and SK Hynix now make up a record 60% of the KOSPI after a 20%+ rally, with Goldman warning 1pp more concentrati
Digital assets briefing — 2026-08-06
BTC holds $64,877 as ETF inflows turn modestly positive, led by BlackRock's IBIT — is this the start of renewed institut
Gold analysis — 2026-08-06
Gold climbed to $4,293/oz, up nearly 6% this week, as the IranOman shipping deal eased inflation fears and cut September
Daily Briefing — 2026-08-06
Nigeria holds rates at 26.50%, OPEC+ confirms a September supply hike, and Korea's KOSPI drops 4.58% on AIspending fears
Daily Briefing — 2026-07-30
Fed holds 3.503.75% in a 93 split as Brent holds near $92 on Iran escalation; the tenge sinks 2.52% and Indonesia's IDX
Asia briefing — 2026-07-30
KOSPI fell 1.50% on July 30 as markets digested SK Hynix's 911% postearnings crash, while Indonesia led the region highe
SK Hynix Investment Memo — 30 July 2026
SK Hynix posted a 76% operating margin and 557% profit growth in Q2 2026 — then fell 911% as the AIcapex repricing and a
Digital assets briefing — 2026-07-23
Bitcoin spot ETFs posted seven consecutive inflow days to July 22, but total crypto market cap remains 52% below its Oct
Indonesia Intelligence Summary — 23 July 2026
Bank Indonesia held at 5.75% on July 22 as the rupiah stabilised near record lows and the November MSCI verdict on EM st
Commodities briefing — 2026-07-23
Brent hit $97.70 as Red Sea tanker strikes opened a second chokepoint alongside Hormuz, while aluminum surged 4.21% on s
Nigeria Intelligence Summary — 22 July 2026
CBN held at 26.5% on July 21 as inflation eased to 15.91% and the NGX surged 55% YTD — Nigeria's reform trade faces its
Brent Crude analysis — 2026-07-16
Brent at $85 as US strikes and a reinstated naval blockade layer a geopolitical premium onto a market the IEA expects to
Cocoa analysis — 2026-07-15
Cocoa eased to $5,657 from July's $6,455 high as Ivorian shipments rose 21% YoY, but the 2026/27 main crop faces a 10%+
Commodities briefing — 2026-07-15
The June ceasefire has collapsed. Brent at $84.73 as Iran's Revolutionary Guard closes Hormuz again, copper hits $14,034
Digital assets briefing — 2026-07-14
Bitcoin +3.74% to $64,822 and Ethereum +5.51% as June CPI at 3.5% compressed hike odds and Monday brought $265.69m in sp
Commodities briefing — 2026-07-14
Brent surged to $87 as Iran declared Hormuz closed after the fourth US strike in a week, while gold fell on rate hike fe
Asia briefing — 2026-07-10
SK Hynix raised $26.5bn in the largest ever US foreign listing, opening at $170 on July 10 as KOSPI surged 2.52% and Bre
Uranium analysis — 2026-07-08
Uranium spot at $85.50/lb while longterm contracts hit $94 — the widest gap since 2008 — as Section 232 price floor nego
China Intelligence Summary — 8 July 2026
China's Q1 GDP beat at 5.0% masks weak FDI and consumption. A deep dive on PBOC policy, MSCI China at 12.6x, and the Tai
Daily Briefing — 2026-07-08
KOSPI plunged 5.35% on chip valuation fears despite Samsung's 19x profit surge as US strikes on Iran pushed Brent back a
Daily Briefing — 2026-07-01
TAIEX led Asia +1.94% on AI semiconductor strength as Brent fell 4.93% on Iran deal progress and copper surged 4.60% on
Digital assets briefing — 2026-07-01
June closed as the worst month for Bitcoin ETF outflows on record as MiCA took full effect on July 1, removing USDT from
Canton Coin (CC) analysis — 2026-06-30
Canton Network fell 12.4% in two weeks to $0.1415 despite DTCC's Treasury tokenization deal and JPMorgan's Kinexys rollo
Digital assets briefing — 2026-06-29
Three weeks of outflows totalling $4.21bn pushed crypto AuM to $141bn as Fed hawkishness and Iran risk overwhelmed CLARI
Bitcoin (BTC) analysis — 2026-06-29
Bitcoin at $59,600, down 53% from its ATH, as Fed hawkishness and ETF outflows collide with record longterm holder accum
Gold analysis — 2026-06-25
Gold fell to $3,998 on June 25 — down 29% from its January high — as a 68% September Fed hike probability and 13month do
Asia briefing — 2026-06-24
KOSPI surged 3.26% on Samsung HBM news while TAIEX fell 2.24% as TSMC dropped 4%, as Brent hit $74.73 on Hormuz normalis
Indonesia Intelligence Summary — 24 June 2026
Indonesia's IDX is down 33% from January peaks as BI raises rates 100bps to defend the rupiah and MSCI sets a November d
Commodities briefing — 2026-06-16
Brent fell to $87.33 as the USIran Hormuz deal removed the war premium, while copper surged on improved demand and OPEC+
Digital assets briefing — 2026-06-15
Bitcoin's fiveweek ETF outflow streak reversed on June 12 as ceasefire optimism and largeholder accumulation drove a $85
Asia briefing — 2026-06-15
KOSPI surged 5.20% and IDX jumped 4.12% as USIran normalisation reports drove Asia's sharpest recovery in months, even a
Commodities briefing — 2026-06-08
Wheat surged 9% on Black Sea drought, Brent rallied to $98 on OPEC discipline, and copper hit $13,484 despite weak Chine
Daily Briefing — 2026-06-08
May payrolls doubled consensus at 172k, pushing 10year yields to 4.54% and KOSPI down 8.29%, while Brent and wheat surge
Asia briefing — 2026-06-08
Korea's KOSPI crashed 8.29% on June 8 as leveraged AI positions unwound. Taiwan, India and Indonesia also fell sharply o
Digital assets briefing — 2026-05-26
Bitcoin holds near $76,800 as $1.26bn in weekly ETF outflows and CPI at 3.8% weigh on sentiment, while the CLARITY Act a
Commodities briefing — 2026-05-25
Brent above $105 as Iran nuclear talks stall, aluminum hits 4year highs on 3M ton supply loss, and China's $17bn ag comm
Quantum Computing — Theme Analysis — 16 May 2026
Quantum revenues topped $1bn in 2025 as startup investment surged 6.3x to $12.6bn. A breakdown of hardware, postquantum
Nigeria Intelligence Summary — 16 May 2026
Nigeria's reform momentum earns a first S&P upgrade in 14 years, but a 70% deficittorevenue ratio and rising inflation t
Ethereum (ETH) analysis — 2026-05-22
ETH trades 57% below its 2025 peak despite alltime high network usage — a deepdive on L2 growth, macro correlation, and
Daily Briefing — 2026-05-22
MSCI EM up 19.3% YTD versus S&P 500's 8.3% as dollar weakness and tech earnings drive the rally, while Iran nuclear impa
Commodities briefing — 2026-05-19
Hormuz closure drives Brent to $102/bbl, aluminum to 4year highs, and wheat up 25% YoY as supply shocks ripple through g
Asia briefing — 2026-05-19
Asian equities fell for a 3rd session in May 2026 as an inconclusive TrumpXi summit and Persian Gulf tensions kept oil e